Thursday, March 20, 2014

2014 Cactus League Evaluation

Spring Training ended early for the Diamondbacks as they pack their bags for Australia to open the season in a series against the Dodgers. Considering what transpired this spring the Diamondbacks probably can't wait to get the season started.

Most of Arizona's lineup consists of solid veteran players at key positions, so most starters had been decided before spring. Leaders like Paul Goldschmidt, Carlos Santana, and Gio Gonzalez cruised through spring preparations and look to have an excellent season.


Goldschmidt figures to be an MVP candidate

The drama in the desert concerned one key position battle, and a devastating injury that threatens to scuttle Arizona's chances at an NL West title.

Patrick Corbin - The Diamondbacks lost their #2 starter for the season when Corbin was diagnosed with a torn ulnar collateral ligament (UCL). This injury ends his season, one that many hoped would show marked improvement from his promising 2013 season. Without Corbin the Diamondbacks are going to rely on Ian Kennedy in the #2 slot, and the pressure will be on Trevor Cahill to show that he is worth bringing back after the season. Things are also looking bad for Jake Arrieta as his ailing shoulder make keep him from starting the season on time, if another starter gets injured the Diamondbacks will have to go to the minors for a replacement.


Losing Corbin is a serious blow to the Arizona rotation

2B/SS Back-Up Competition - With JJ Hardy's contract up at the end of the season and the oft-injured Aaron Hill manning 2B the fight for the 2B/SS back-up position became a heated battle this spring. Didi Gregorious had held this position, but with the spring Chris Owings has had it looks like management is going to give the gig to Owings. Grant Green has also looked good, so Gregorious finds himself on the outside looking in, and he may be completely out of a job by 2015 if Owings and Green take over at SS ans 2B. Rumors are that Gregorious may be traded, but nobody has confirm the rumors.


Owings is starting to look like the SS of the future

Outfield Depth - If the Diamondbacks knew they were going to have a rough spring in the outfield, they probably wouldn't have traded Jayson Werth. Peter Bourjos hasn't wowed anyone, Domonic Brown has been struggling with illness, and back-up Ryan Raburn has been injured. There aren't any minor league players ready to be promoted, so Arizona desperately needs their outfield to get healthy quickly. If Tony Campana is pushed into a starting role they could be in for a long season.


Friday, February 28, 2014

Diamondbacks, Cubs Agree To Deal

With Spring Training under way the Cactus League helped the Diamondbacks and Cubs come together and agree to a seven player deal on Wednesday.

The deal sends RF Jayson Werth and 2B D.J. LeMahieu to Chicago in exchange for a variety of prospects and 2B Brian Roberts. Werth had a very good season in 2013 after a sluggish start, but with the soon-to-be 35 year old's $9.1 million a year contract set to expire it was doubtful that Arizona would resign him. Werth has been on the wrong end of the OF depth chart during the offseason with CF Peter Bourjos and RF Domonic Brown filling his likely positions, this move seems to indicate that management is interested in giving LF Dayan Viciedo the starting job.

The centerpiece of the deal on the Diamondbacks side is SS Luis Sardinas, originally drafted by the Texas rangers, who is ranked as the #76th overall prospect by MLB.com. Sardinas was drafted in the same class as 2B/SS Jurickson Profar, but took slightly longer to develop, he has still impressed scouts and is only 20 years old. If things work out the Diamondbacks could have a solid 2B-SS combo with Chris Owings and Sardinas in the near future.

Is Sardinas the future at SS?

The remaining prospects featured two former Diamondbacks in RHP Jake Barrett and LHP Eury De La Rosa. With Matt Reynolds going down for the season and being released, the Diamondbacks desperately needed RP depth. Barrett had been rated behind fellow hard tossing RHP Matt Stites, but coming into this season most scouts put Barrett above Stites in the closer-of-the-future pecking order. De La Rosa is a poorly rated reliever who seems destined for a LOOGY role, not to say his skills will not be needed.

The final pieces of the deal were former Royals SS Orlando Calixte and comeback-minded 2B Brian Roberts. Calixte was of interest as Arizona looks to build MI depth in it's system, and Roberts was mostly thrown into the deal to balance team salaries ($8.0 million left) and serve as a back-up to the equally injury prone 2B Aaron Hill. Roberts has only managed 192 games in the past four years, with his 17 game 2012 season particularly worrisome, and hasn't been productive since 2009. If Hill suffers another injury setback and 2B Grant Green doesn't live up to expectations Roberts should get the call.

With Arizona's failure to sign an OF in free agency, a move that would have pushed Brown to LF, this looks like a risky move for the 2014 season. An injury to any of their starters would push utility OF Tony Campana or Ryan Raburn (another bloated expiring contract) into the starting lineup. The loss of LeMahieu also complicates this scenario, but it looks like Arizona's GMs are acutely aware that any injuries would scuttle their bid for an NL West title and probably end their season no matter what position is compromised.

Tuesday, February 25, 2014

Upton Shuns Diamondbacks, Returns To Cardinals

After a very lengthy negotiation process OF Justin Upton has opted to return to St. Louis. Upton, who made his MLB debut at 19, received interested from the Tigers, Brewers, and Diamondbacks before deciding on a four-year $64 million deal. Negotiations between Upton and the Diamondbacks continued for days, and reports are that Arizona had a three year $59.4 million deal on the table with a team option for a fourth. It's unclear if Upton was swayed by the guaranteed money or the legendary Cardinals charm, either way he leaves Diamondbacks fans disappointed.

Can Upton return to elite status?

Upton has been traded a number of times since being drafted by Arizona in 2005. He made his way to the Cardinals in 2012 when the Rays (who had acquired Upton from the Mariners in 2011) sent him to St. Louis in exchange for OF Carlos Gonzalez and 2011 1st round pick SP Tyler Goeddel.

Upton has shown flashes of being a truly elite player by posting 20-20 seasons in 2009 and 2011, but his past few seasons have been disappointing considering his level of talent. After starting the 2013 season with 12HR and a .298 average in the month of April, Upton stumbled and managed only 15HR for the rest of the season and ended with a .278 average after hitting well below .250 through May and June. While 27HR is a good total, it fell far below expectations after his incredible April. Upton also posted a career high in strike outs (161) and his first single digit SB total (8) since his first two years in the league.

Thursday, February 13, 2014

Kevin Gregg, Diamondbacks Reach Deal

The Diamondbacks announced the signing of free agent RP Kevin Gregg today, a move that will help shore up their bullpen. Gregg, 35, received little interest on the open market after saving 33 games for Colorado in 2013.

Gregg has agreed to a two-year $1.2 million offer, and many assume he may retire before the end of the deal. Despite saving 177 games since 2007 only the Washington Nationals showed interest in the veteran reliever.

Arizona's GM spoke briefly about the signing on Thursday "We think Kevin [Gregg] is very underrated, and we have a staff full of young pitchers. If anything he's a veteran leader, and we have a proven back-up if Jim [Johnson] is injured."

Gregg is currently behind RP Joakim Soria and David Hernandez on the Diamondbacks depth chart.




Thursday, February 6, 2014

Diamondbacks Ink Aaron Hill

The Arizona Diamondbacks signed their third player this offseason by coming to terms with 2B Aaron Hill. Hill has been up and down since having a stellar season in 2009 where he hit 36HR and drove in 108, winning his first Silver Slugger award. He seemed to bounce back in 2012 for the Braves, winning his second Silver Slugger, but injuries plagued his final season in Atlanta where he only played in 87 games.

Can Arizona fans expect 2012 Hill, or a 2013 disappointment?

The second base market this year was poor at best with Hill clearly headlining the group. Players like Mark Ellis (Orioles), Blake DeWitt (Royals), Ronnie Cedeno (Padres), and Clint Barmes (resigned with Padres) received little interest and signed quickly. The only players who received much interest outside of Hill were Omar Infante (Two years $9 million to Cleveland) and Emilio Bonifaco (Two years $7.2 million to the Giants), so Hill was in an excellent position to get the most out of free agency. Hill received interest from the Marlins, Rangers, and Braves, but in the end Atlanta dropped out and Hill agreed to a two-year $13.6 million deal. Hill had previously signed with Atlanta in 2011 for three years and $23.1 million, so Arizona may have landed a bargain.

Diamondbacks management was very happy to add Hill's bat to their lineup "at a position of concern" with DJ LeMahieu and rookie Grant Green currently manning 2B.

Can Green live up to his potential?

"We are excited to have Aaron join our organization, and we believe he has the potential to win a third Silver Slugger her in Phoenix. It's also a great opportunity for some of our younger players to learn under a veteran."

Hill's move to Chase Field should help him recover his award winning form as it has consistently outperformed Turner Field as a hitter's park (MLB Park Factor), especially in HRs.

Saturday, January 4, 2014

Arizona Re-Signs Ian Kennedy

The Diamondbacks continued their free agent activity by bringing back Ian Kennedy. Kennedy had received offers from the Giants, Dodgers, Rangers, A's, and Mariners but ultimately decided to return to Arizona. The two parties agreed on a deal worth $13 million over two years that included a team option for a third year that could bring the total to $19.5 million.

Can Kennedy regain his 2011 form?

The 29 year old starting pitcher has spent most of his career in Arizona, and initially it looked like the Diamondbacks were going to let him go. The Arizona GMs spoke briefly about their decision to bring back Kennedy shortly after the deal was announced.

"We were going to let Ian go via free agency, but after we completed our review of our pitching staff we decided we needed him back. Our coaches like Jake [Arrieta] and Lucas [Harrell], but we really needed someone who can toss 180-200 innings and Ian is that guy. He has proven to be durable and we need that consistency to make it to the playoffs."

Kennedy projects to be the Diamondbacks #2 starter behind Gio Gonzalez, and the combination of the two could represent 400+ solid innings. Arizona has also announced the release of RP Sam Demel and RP Juan Gutierrez. The bullpen has become crowded recently with the return of Jim Johnson and the signing of Joakim Soria.

Wednesday, December 18, 2013

Diamondbacks Enter Free Agent Market

The Arizona Diamondbacks jumped into the free agent market after two weeks of inactivity to re-sign one of their own. After a few days of negotiations and fielding offers from other teams closer Jim Johnson agreed to a $23.4 million four year deal to return to Arizona. Johnson decided to test the market after a record setting stretch of two years, but the offers didn't materialize for the 30 year old reliever and he ultimately decided to take a longer contract over a higher annual salary. A number of teams expressed interest on two year deals, but Johnson did not want to risk hitting the market at 32. The return of Johnson and the addition of Joakim Soria via trade gives the Diamondbacks a chance to form a solid 1-2 punch at the end of games.

Can Johnson be the first to post three 50+ save seasons in a row?

After recording two consecutive seasons with 50 or more saves Jim Johnson made history as the second player in MLB history to do so. The first player was Eric Gagne (2002-2003), and he only managed one more season as an elite closer. The Diamondbacks seem to believe that Johnson will not follow Gagne's path to irrelevance, even though he has a similar pre-50 save season track record with only 21 saves in his previous five years of service time. At 30 years of age Arizona shouldn't be exposed with a four year deal, but if Johnson does follow Gagne they will be eating his contract  from 2015-17.