Tuesday, April 7, 2015

2015 NL West Preview

The NL West Champion is pretty clear with 162 games to go, it would take an act of God for the Giants to drop the division this year. Despite all of that, they still play the games, so anything can happen.

Only the Giants made the playoffs in 2014, with Arizona missing out after losing Goldschmidt for the end of the season. That won't be an issue this year with Arizona, Los Angeles, Colorado, and San Diego setting their sights on the future. Non-San Francisco NL West fans should hit up Baseball America or ESPN and bone up on the 2016 draft class, they are going to be drafting early.

NL West Projected Finish

#1 San Francisco Giants (100-62) : The Giants are simply loaded, again, and barring any injuries will be a favorite to win the World Series for a second time. The Giants wheeled and dealed this offseason to unload some contracts and got younger on offense. Chris Davis and Robinson Cano are gone in favor of Jason Kipnis, Rusney Castillo, and J.D. Martinez. They also added Felix Hernandez, who can replace David Price after he left for free agency. They have one of the most solid offenses in baseball and the deepest rotation, it looks like only the Cubs have the firepower to stop them from repeating as World Champions. They headed into free agency with $14.6 million to spend, but instead of spending on free agents they made some moves and brought in Miguel Cabrera.


Bumgarner could unseat Clayton Kershaw as the NL Cy Young winner. 

#2 Arizona Diamondbacks (76-84) : Faint praise, but the Diamondbacks might be the second best team in this division again. The gap in wins between #1 and #2 is going to be significantly wider than #2 and #5, and to be honest anybody from 2-5 could easily finish last in the division. The only thing holding this team up is having some high-upside hitting and starting pitchers. Paul Goldschmidt has MVP potential, and Yasmany Tomas could be a real surprise. An entire season of David Peralta and Chris Owings might just be enough to boost this team from worst to almost-worst. Gio Gonzalez should have a bounce back season, and Patrick Corbin might help after the All Star break, but beyond them this rotation is a real launching pad.


Will Goldschmidt finally lift the MVP Award?

#3 Los Angeles Dodgers (72-90) : This is where projecting the standings gets hard, but the Dodgers get a small edge for having a slightly more complete roster. They still have a big name in Prince Fielder, but beyond that they are lacking in high end talent. Fielder will have to return from a lost 2014 season if the Dodgers are going to avoid a 100 loss season. The rotation is full, unlike San Diego, but it's mostly just warm bodies and bloated contracts. This team is very expensive, doesn't have a very high ceiling, and swap a bunch of talent for impact prospects.



Can Fielder return to All-Star form?

#4 Colorado Rockies (72-90) : The Rockies look like they are stuck somewhere between the Dodgers and Padres as far as roster construction goes. They have depth on offense and some decent pitching options, but they will need good seasons from guys like Ryan Howard to pass Los Angeles. Troy Tulowitzki is one of the best players in baseball, and will probably be in Colorado for quite some time, but he's alone in terms of high impact bats. James Loney, Will Middlebrooks, and Josh Reddick are decent players but hardly All-Star talent. Colorado has more pitchers than San Diego, but they don't really have a very good starting rotation at the moment. Their pitching strength comes from the bullpen with Eric O'Flaherty and Santiago Casilla holding down the setup-closer one-two punch, but that isn't going to help them break .500 this year.


It could be a long season for the Rockies' stars... again.

#5 San Diego Padres (70-92) : The Padres are extremely one-sided this season, and they will be desperate for pitching from game 1 to game 162. Their offense is actually pretty decent for a team projected to lose close to 100 games. Joe Mauer, Asdrubal Cabrera, Erick Aybar, Michael Bourn, and Curtis Grandserson give this team some pop. The bench is deep, but it's also full of guys about to come of the books. San Diego is in a race with Arizona to have the most money come off their salary after the 2015 season, and with over $60 million set to come off they are dominating the race. Their ace at the moment is Johan Santana, so they will basically be looking for their entire rotation to come from their MiLB system. It's going to be a long season in San Diego, but their farm system is stacked and looks to be a Top 10 system going forward.



Not even PetCo Park can save this pitching staff.

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